Severe but Plausible - or Not?
Working paper on an application of statistical unusualness to assess the plausibility of the Federal Reserve's stress scenarios.
See https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3764123
2022-02-21 update:
Published in the Journal of Risk Volume 24, Number 3 (February 2022). https://doi.org/10.21314/JOR.2021.026